Backcheck
Morning report · executive brief

New Jersey Devils

By the ModelMon, Sep 21Latest file · Tue, Apr 142025-26last seasonAs of Sun, Sep 20
Executive summary

Last time out (Tue, Apr 14): NJD 0 - 4 BOS — a loss to the Bruins.

Devils: a outshot/run-and-gun team (0.0% 5v5 xG) with league-average goaltending, flagged for regression (3 signals).

Season complete · final ledger
82
Games filed
42
Wins (all)
40
Losses (all)
230
Goals for
254
Goals against

No scheduled fixture on file — counts from published recaps; OT/SO losses count as losses

Regression watch
  • PDO 0.971 — running cold at 5v5; due for positive regression.
  • Team finishing is -29 goals below xG — finishing should rebound.
  • Jacob Markstrom sv% 88.3% is below replacement — goaltending should improve or change.
Schedule load · logistics

How hard is this team’s season, logistically? This grades the schedule itself — travel, rest, and clustering — separate from how good the team is.

Logistics, not talent

Schedule load

STRONG
Load index
77/ 100 · pctile vs league

The 8th-heaviest schedule in the league84 games, 1.3 days average rest.

Total travel
36,760
road miles flown
13
Back-to-backs
2 games, 0 days off
17
3-in-4s
3 games / 4 nights
16
4-in-6s
4 games / 6 nights
7
Longest road trip
6,625 mi
Rest-days distribution
0d13
1d46
2d17
3+d7

Nights of rest before each game · 0 days = red, 3+ = green

Rest advantage

21 games with more rest than the opponent · 21 with fewer · 41 even.

Hardest stretches
  • 6 games in 9 days with 2,710 travel miles

    Jan 23Jan 31

  • 6 games in 12 days with 5,415 travel miles

    Dec 27Jan 7

  • 6 games in 11 days with 3,947 travel miles

    Feb 13Feb 23

Source · NHL schedule · arena coordinates · rest & travel model
By the ModelCommitted game files + rankings sidecarSections print only when the underlying data exists