TACTICALVGKfan
The moment it turned
Jackson Hallum's shot in P3 swung the game.
52
IMP
Morning report · executive brief
Vegas Golden Knights
◆ By the ModelMon, Sep 21Latest file · Sat, Sep 192025-26last season· this season's sample isn't live yetAs of Sun, Sep 20
Executive summary
Last time out (Sat, Sep 19): VGK 4 - 2 LAK — a win over the Kings.
The model's top flag from that game: the moment it turned — Jackson Hallum's shot in P3 swung the game.
Golden Knights: a outshot/run-and-gun team (0.0% 5v5 xG) with league-average goaltending, flagged for regression (2 signals).
Season complete · final ledger
83
Games filed
40
Wins (all)
43
Losses (all)
269
Goals for
252
Goals against
No scheduled fixture on file — counts from published recaps; OT/SO losses count as losses
Last game report card · VGK @ LAK · Sat, Sep 19
Graded vs a league-average game
Report card
DimensionVGKLAK
Special teams
▸Basis
VGK 0-for-4 on the power play (0%; league ≈21%) with 0.00 PP xG.
LAK 0-for-2 on the power play (0%; league ≈21%) with 0.00 PP xG.
F
48
F
48
Discipline
▸Basis
VGK Took 3 penalties for 14 PIM vs 5 for 20 on the other side.
LAK Took 5 penalties for 20 PIM vs 3 for 14 on the other side.
A-
90
D-
60
Source · NHL play-by-play · xG engine · luck graded separately
Five critical insights
STRENGTHVGKfan
J. Hallum led the way
2G — the game's first star.
50
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WARNINGVGKfancoach
Power play came up empty
0-for-4 with the man advantage on 0.00 PP xG.
Rework PP entries and get a body to the net-front.
49
IMP
STRENGTHVGKfan
V. Kmec made a difference
1G 1A — the game's second star.
44
IMP
STRENGTHVGKfan
Won the discipline battle
Just 3 penalties for 14 minutes vs 5 for 20 on the other side.
38
IMP
Warning signs
WARNINGVGKfancoach
Power play came up empty
0-for-4 with the man advantage on 0.00 PP xG.
Rework PP entries and get a body to the net-front.
49
IMP
Positive trends
STRENGTHVGKfan
J. Hallum led the way
2G — the game's first star.
50
IMP
STRENGTHVGKfan
V. Kmec made a difference
1G 1A — the game's second star.
44
IMP
STRENGTHVGKfan
Won the discipline battle
Just 3 penalties for 14 minutes vs 5 for 20 on the other side.
38
IMP
STRENGTHVGKfan
J. Demek made a difference
1A — the game's third star.
34
IMP
Regression watch
- PDO 0.983 — running cold at 5v5; due for positive regression.
- Akira Schmid sv% 89.3% is below replacement — goaltending should improve or change.
Schedule load · logistics
How hard is this team’s season, logistically? This grades the schedule itself — travel, rest, and clustering — separate from how good the team is.
Logistics, not talent
Schedule load
DEPTH
Load index
3/ 100 · pctile vs league
The 31st-heaviest schedule in the league — 84 games, 1.3 days average rest.
Total travel
50,695
road miles flown
8
Back-to-backs
2 games, 0 days off
9
3-in-4s
3 games / 4 nights
8
4-in-6s
4 games / 6 nights
4
Longest road trip
3,757 mi
Rest-days distribution
0d8
1d51
2d19
3+d5
Nights of rest before each game · 0 days = red, 3+ = green
Rest advantage
23 games with more rest than the opponent · 18 with fewer · 41 even.
Hardest stretches
6 games in 10 days with 4,452 travel miles
Oct 6 – Oct 15
6 games in 12 days with 5,784 travel miles
Jan 9 – Jan 20
6 games in 10 days with 4,054 travel miles
Dec 26 – Jan 4
Source · NHL schedule · arena coordinates · rest & travel model
Recommended actions
- 01
Rework PP entries and get a body to the net-front.
Power play came up emptycoach