Backcheck
Morning report · executive brief

Washington Capitals

By the ModelMon, Sep 21Latest file · Tue, Apr 142025-26last seasonAs of Sun, Sep 20
Executive summary

Last time out (Tue, Apr 14): WSH 2 - 1 CBJ — a win over the Blue Jackets.

Capitals: a outshot/run-and-gun team (0.0% 5v5 xG) with league-average goaltending, flagged for regression (2 signals).

Season complete · final ledger
82
Games filed
43
Wins (all)
39
Losses (all)
263
Goals for
244
Goals against

No scheduled fixture on file — counts from published recaps; OT/SO losses count as losses

Regression watch
  • PDO 1.018 — running hot at 5v5; expect negative regression.
  • Team finishing is -10 goals below xG — finishing should rebound.
Schedule load · logistics

How hard is this team’s season, logistically? This grades the schedule itself — travel, rest, and clustering — separate from how good the team is.

Logistics, not talent

Schedule load

AVERAGE
Load index
61/ 100 · pctile vs league

The 13th-heaviest schedule in the league84 games, 1.3 days average rest.

Total travel
36,639
road miles flown
14
Back-to-backs
2 games, 0 days off
13
3-in-4s
3 games / 4 nights
14
4-in-6s
4 games / 6 nights
6
Longest road trip
4,380 mi
Rest-days distribution
0d14
1d47
2d14
3+d8

Nights of rest before each game · 0 days = red, 3+ = green

Rest advantage

21 games with more rest than the opponent · 20 with fewer · 42 even.

Hardest stretches
  • 6 games in 11 days with 5,215 travel miles

    Jan 2Jan 12

  • 6 games in 10 days with 3,370 travel miles

    Mar 1Mar 10

  • 6 games in 13 days with 5,511 travel miles

    Jan 22Feb 3

Source · NHL schedule · arena coordinates · rest & travel model
By the ModelCommitted game files + rankings sidecarSections print only when the underlying data exists