Backcheck
Roster needs · candidate fits
As of Sun, Sep 20

The Trade Board

The model measures each club's roster gaps against the league, then ranks outside players on how well they'd plug the biggest one — on-ice value, style fit, and how gettable the seller looks. On-ice fit only; nothing here is cap-validated.

How to read this

First the diagnosis: we compare this club's impact in every roster bucket — top-six scoring, defensive D, and so on — against the league average, and rank the shortfalls. The biggest gap becomes the shopping brief.

Then the shortlist: outside players are scored on how well they'd plug that hole — their on-ice value (), their with how this club creates offense, and an that assumes struggling clubs sell and contenders don't. Know what this board is not: it has no salary data, no cap math, no term, and no idea whether a GM would return the call. It's a scouting shortlist built purely from on-ice fit — the phone call is your job.

NEED
roster bucket where the club trails league average, ranked by the gap
WAR*
on-ice value — a model proxy, not official WAR
STYLE
0–100: does the candidate score the way this club scores?
ACQ†
0–100: how gettable the seller looks, from points pace alone
FIT
value × need × style × acquirability — the shortlist order
Fine print · verbatim from the model
  • on-ice fit only; not cap-validated
  • acquirability is a PROXY (team points pace), not real availability; no contract/cap/AAV/term data exists.
  • No real contract data (PuckPedia/CapWages are paid). Contract phase is an age/experience estimate; market visibility proxies what contracts pay for.
TORToronto Maple Leafs
Biggest need

Bottom-6 forward depth

-44team 38.3 vs league 81.9 · high
All needs · ranked
4 flagged
01
Bottom-6 forward depthhigh
-44
02
Depth defensehigh
-35
03
Top-6 forwardhigh
-27
04
Top-pair defensemanhigh
-15
Best value fits
8 ranked · league board →
#FromPlayer
1UTA
Lawson CrouseL · +2.29Coming off a clear top-of-the-lineup season, plays this club's style almost exactly (97/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
71+21.4UFA (est.)
79/100 · model-est.
2NJDstats: PIT
Anthony ManthaR · +3.02Coming off a clear top-of-the-lineup season, plays this club's style almost exactly (97/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
71+17.7UFA (est.)
78/100 · model-est.
3TBL
Jake GuentzelC · +4.07Coming off an all-star level season, plays this club's style almost exactly (97/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
72+16.3UFA (est.)
77/100 · model-est.
4CAR
Eric RobinsonL · +1.06Coming off a solid contributor season, plays this club's style almost exactly (87/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
66+21.4UFA (est.)
77/100 · model-est.
5CAR
Mark JankowskiL · +1.35Coming off a solid contributor season, brings a different stylistic profile (54/100) — and comes badly underpriced by the market.
60+27.5UFA (est.)
76/100 · model-est.
6COL
Parker KellyC · +1.93Coming off a solid contributor season, plays this club's style almost exactly (87/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
66+20.9UFA (est.)
76/100 · model-est.
7CBJstats: COL
Valeri NichushkinR · +2.57Coming off a clear top-of-the-lineup season, brings a different stylistic profile (64/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
65+21.7UFA (est.)
76/100 · model-est.
8CAR
Sebastian AhoC · +3.70Coming off an all-star level season, plays this club's style almost exactly (87/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
68+18.0UFA (est.)
76/100 · model-est.

◆ Value basis · No real contract data (PuckPedia/CapWages are paid). Contract phase is an age/experience estimate; market visibility proxies what contracts pay for.

Candidate fits · Bottom-6 forward depth
15 ranked
#FromPlayer
1UTA
Dylan GuentherR · 74.5Coming off an all-star level season, plays this club's style almost exactly (97/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
+3.679747
STRONG FIT73/100 · model-est.
2TBL
Jake GuentzelC · 74.2Coming off an all-star level season, plays this club's style almost exactly (97/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
+4.079744
STRONG FIT72/100 · model-est.
3BUF
Jason ZuckerL · 71.8Coming off a clear top-of-the-lineup season, plays this club's style almost exactly (97/100).
+2.159746
STRONG FIT72/100 · model-est.
4NJDstats: PIT
Anthony ManthaR · 66.4Coming off a clear top-of-the-lineup season, plays this club's style almost exactly (97/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
+3.029753
STRONG FIT71/100 · model-est.
5UTA
Lawson CrouseL · 69.7Coming off a clear top-of-the-lineup season, plays this club's style almost exactly (97/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
+2.299747
STRONG FIT71/100 · model-est.
6NSH
Filip ForsbergL · 64.8Coming off a clear top-of-the-lineup season, plays this club's style almost exactly (94/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
+3.349452
AVERAGE FIT70/100 · model-est.
7NJD
Cody GlassC · 62.7Coming off a solid contributor season, plays this club's style almost exactly (97/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
+1.329753
AVERAGE FIT70/100 · model-est.
8MIN
Matt BoldyL · 80.5Coming off an all-star level season, fits the style well (79/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
+4.337947
AVERAGE FIT70/100 · model-est.
9ANA
Cutter GauthierL · 76.5Coming off an all-star level season, fits the style well (79/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
+3.557952
AVERAGE FIT70/100 · model-est.
10PIT
Evgeni MalkinC · 66.4Coming off a clear top-of-the-lineup season, plays this club's style almost exactly (97/100).
+2.509747
AVERAGE FIT70/100 · model-est.
11BUF
Tage ThompsonC · 73.7Coming off an all-star level season, plays this club's style almost exactly (87/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
+3.798746
AVERAGE FIT69/100 · model-est.
12SJS
Pavol RegendaL · 67.4Coming off a depth season, plays this club's style almost exactly (87/100).
+0.548754
AVERAGE FIT69/100 · model-est.
13CAR
Seth JarvisC · 72.4Coming off a clear top-of-the-lineup season, plays this club's style almost exactly (88/100).
+3.128845
AVERAGE FIT69/100 · model-est.
14STL
Jimmy SnuggerudR · 66.8Coming off a clear top-of-the-lineup season, plays this club's style almost exactly (87/100).
+2.258752
AVERAGE FIT69/100 · model-est.
15LAK
Alex LaferriereR · 59.7Coming off a solid contributor season, plays this club's style almost exactly (97/100) — and comes underpriced by the market.
+1.919752
AVERAGE FIT69/100 · model-est.
◆ The Modelon-ice fit only; not cap-validated* WAR is a model-estimated proxy, not official WAR

acquirability is a PROXY (team points pace), not real availability; no contract/cap/AAV/term data exists.

Fit score blends on-ice value, positional need, style match and the acquirability proxy. It says nothing about contracts, cap space, term, or whether a seller would pick up the phone — read it as a scouting shortlist, not a trade machine.